Opinion: It just has to be Hillary but after Brexit who can trust the polls
Downing on politics
Published 08/11/2016 | 10:30
The older I get the more I am compelled by politics. But the older I get the worse I am at doing all-nighters on front of the television, with the radio on in the background, and various news websites open on my laptop.
So, I am going to bed early tonight in hopes of waking to the 'good news' early tomorrow. By then we should know who the new 'Leader of the Free World' really is.
All the smart pundits insist it just has to be Hillary Clinton. But I remember waking early on Friday, June 24, to find those Brexit opinion polls were just miles wide of the mark. So, we cannot rule out a win for the great boor, 'the Donald.' It is hard to refrain from profane language when referring to Mr Trump.
I mean strip out all the politics, take away right and left, conservative and liberal, and you're still left with one simple reality: the guy is an utter swine.
Sometimes, when I'm asked how a particular political issue is going to go in Ireland, I assess my own political views first. Then I invert them. In other words, I'm admitting that I am not often a good indicator of mainstream Irish opinion.
But I'm happy to know I am with "middle Ireland" on this one.
In an all-island poll for Irish language online magazine, Tuarisc.ie, just 6pc of respondents in the Republic said they wanted Trump to win the White House. Two-thirds of people in the south back Clinton. The Trump figure in the North was higher - but still only on 11pc. And 47pc of Northern voters want a Clinton win.
We can perhaps note a certain Trump tendency north of the Border. We may guess that there may be a certain hardline Unionist factor here.