Monday 26 September 2016

Dresden now the city of choice for real estate players

Dalia Fahmy

Published 24/05/2015 | 02:30

Dresden real estate has become hugely popular as the city improves
Dresden real estate has become hugely popular as the city improves

Real estate junkies looking for what's hot in Germany are increasingly eyeing a city in the east that's become one of the main successes of reunification: Dresden.

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"Munich is too expensive, Hamburg is too expensive, Berlin is getting too expensive, so investors are looking for the next best thing, and that's Dresden," said Ronald Fiedler, head of the Engel & Voelkers real estate agency in the city.

Dresden -- the capital of the state of Saxony located 200km south of Berlin -- is undergoing a real estate boom that picked up steam as German companies expanded following the global financial crisis.

Prices for newly built apartments in the city have gained 47pc in the past five years, outpacing the national average of 30pc and Berlin's 33pc, according to research firm Bulwiengesa.

The city's success is a chief reason why Germany chose it to host a meeting of Group of Seven finance ministers and central bank chiefs starting next Wednesday.

Since reunification, the historic centre has been stitched back together around the Church of Our Lady that was rebuilt from a pile of rubble -- left from the gutting of the city by Allied bombings at the end of World War II.

The image of the Church of Our Lady looking out across a devestate central Dresden after the city was firebombed towards the end of the war, bu the city has recovered and rebuilt since 1945 and that process then accelerated after the rejuvenation of of Germany in 1991.

The improvement of the old East Germany became a top priority for the West German government once reunification took place, and Dresden has been one of the chief beneficiaries of that policy.

Now it has reached the point where it is being favoured over other former East German cities, overtaking long favourites such as Berlin among others.

The rejuvenation has allowed Dresden to regain its pre-war moniker "Florence of the Elbe," a reference to the baroque domes and towers lining a picturesque, winding stretch of the Elbe River.

While the city's apartment prices are rising, at €2,800 ($3,123) per square meter they're still more affordable than in Berlin, where buyers pay €3,850 per square meter, and far below Hamburg and Frankfurt's €4,200.

Volkswagen builds the Phaeton sedan in a glass factory near the central business district and on the northern outskirts is a sprawling Globalfoundries factory producing communication chips and processors.

Dresden's microelectronics industry includes 1,500 companies employing more than 48,000 people, according to the city's website.

"Dresden, like hardly any other German city, stands for successful rebuilding after two dictatorships and successful structural transformation," Finance Minister Wolfgang Schaeuble said when he announced the conclave of G-7 nations.

The economic growth and an expanding university are fuelling the highest investment in offices, shops and hotels in a decade.

TLG Immobilien, a Berlin-based commercial landlord, says it's making purchases in the city to take advantage of rising office rents, which have climbed 13pc in the past five years.

"Dresden is developing fabulously as an educational hub, which means it's attracting a lot of young, smart people, and you notice that in the real estate market," Niclas Karoff, one of TLG's co-chiefs, said in an interview.

Christian Falkenberg, chief executive officer of property developer and real estate agency Falkenberg & Kakies, is renovating a century-old hospital complex on wooded hills with commanding views of the Elbe that has its own vineyard.

Another project is the conversion of a 19th century building, the "Heinrichhoefe," into apartments in the only surviving baroque part of the city.

Apartments, which include an underground parking-lot space, start at €87,000 for 27 square meters and go up to €765,844 for 170 square meters on the top floor.

Still, not all are convinced that now is the time to buy.

"Many people invested wrongly in Dresden after 1990 and lost a lot of money because real estate prices then fell," Bernhard Kaluza, director of Kaluza Consult in Dresden, said in an interview.

"Prices have risen so much that I fear a bubble because not enough people with enough money live here to support these kind of real estate prices."

Those who are bullish counter that around 80pc of the home buyers come from western Germany -- and that even Dutch and Italian buyers are discovering the city. Fiedler predicts a 3pc annual price rise for real estate in top areas through 2020.

Other draws for investors are the low crime rate, expanding population and good governance.

Dresden is one of the few major German cities to be debt-free after using money from selling 48,000 publicly owned apartments to Fortress Investment in 2006 to pay off loans.

Last year, the city of 541,000 added another 5,500 people, according to data from the local government, continuing arecent trend.. The population is expected to grow by almost 11pc through 2030, according to a study by Germany's Bertelsmann Foundation.

"It's the sustainable growth of Dresden's population that's the deal-closer for me," said Hendrik De Booij, chief executive officer of De Booij Immobilien, a Frankfurt-based real estate agency.

Bloomberg

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